Publications

Evidence from several fields suggests that Dual Phase Evolution (DPE) may account for distinctive features associated with complex adaptive systems. We review empirical and theoretical evidence for DPE in natural systems and examine the relationship of DPE to other complexity theories such self-organised criticality and adaptive cycles.

Evidence from several fields suggests that dual phase evolution (DPE) may account for distinctive features associated with complex adaptive systems. Here, we review empirical and theoretical evidence for DPE in natural systems and examine the relationship of DPE to self-organized criticality and adaptive cycles. A general model for DPE in networks is outlined, with preliminary data illustrating the emergence of phase changes.

In this study, we describe an evolutionary mechanism – Dual Phase Evolution (DPE) – and argue that it plays a key role in the emergence of internal structure in complex adaptive systems (CAS). Our DPE theory proposes that CAS exhibit two well-defined phases – selection and variation – and that shifts from one phase to the other are triggered by external perturbations. We discuss empirical data which demonstrates that DPE processes play a prominent role in species evolution within landscapes and argue that processes governing a wide range of self-organising phenomena are similar in nature. In support, we present a simulation model of adaptive radiation in landscapes. In the model, organisms normally exist within a connected landscape in which selection maintains them in a stable state. Intermittent disturbances (such as fires, commentary impacts) flip the system into a disconnected phase, in which populations become fragmented, freeing up areas of empty space in which selection pressure lessens and genetic variation predominates. The simulation results show that the DPE mechanism may indeed facilitate the appearance of complex diversity in a landscape ecosystem.

Recent studies suggest that macro-evolutionary patterns such as punctuated equilibrium may be generated by a process termed Dual Phase Evolution (DPE). According to the DPE hypothesis, evolution in landscapes exhibits two phases – selection and variation. Disturbances such as mass extinctions can flip the landscape from selection to variation phases. Similar processes occur in a wide range of artificial, natural and social complex systems. Here, we show that mass extinctions induce DPE in a simulation model of adaptive radiation. The model is based on a previous model of adaptive radiation which did not incorporate Dual Phase Evolution. Results confirm that mass extinctions caused by external disturbances can trigger periods of rapid species turnover and adaptive radiation (variation phases), which are followed by long periods without innovation (selection phases). Our simulations also show that the spatial configuration of disasters leading to mass extinctions strongly influences whether and to what extent such disasters are capable of inducing evolutionary variation phases.